NZ Derby runner’s guide – 4 March (Australia Race 1 @ 11.47 am)

Horse Trainer COMMENTS
1 Sharp ‘N’ Smart Team Rogerson One of the best three-year-olds in Australasia who was impressive winning the Herbie Dyke Stakes (G1) last start. Will be the hot favourite and clearly the one to beat.
2 Desert Lightning Peter & Dawn Williams Talented three-year-old who stormed home to win the Avondale Guineas over 2100m and whol will relish the rise to 2400m, appears to be a solid top three chance.
3 Dynastic Mark Walker Another improving three-year-old from the Mark Walker stable who scored an overdue win last against easier company. This is much tougher.
4 Waitak Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott Narrowly beaten in the Avondale Guineas behind Desert Lightning and must be considered a top four contender again based on that effort.
5 Cruz Missile Stephen Marsh Didn’t measure up in the Herbie Dyke Stakes behind Sharp N Smart. Previous form was sound but a place chance at best.
6 Devildom Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott Was not as effective on a good track last start in the Avondale Guineas but his previous effort on wet track was excellent finishing 2nd in the Waikato Guineas. Include in the chances.
7 Opawa Jack Chrissy Bambry Has been racing against easier horses and was 3rd last start at Taranaki Ri. This is much harder.
8 Mark Twain Roger James & Robert Wellwood Winner of two of his four career starts but against much inferior opposition. He does give the impression he will stay all day and the rise in distance will suit.
9 Savoir Faire Mark Walker Finished powerfully in the Waikato Guineas for 3rd place when he produced one of the better runs of the race. He could sneak a place on a rain affected track.
10 Texas Nicholas Bishara Bounced back to the winner’s list last start on turf after failing on the synthetic track two starts ago. Big rise in class here.
11 Rockburn John Bary Did not handle the heavy track and failed badly at Matamata last start and this appears too hard.
12 Channel Surfer Graham Richardson & Rogan Norvall Failed with blinkers on the first time in the Avondale Guineas when checking in 8th place. Hard to recommend at this level.
13 Warsaw Chris Gibbs Was held up at a critical stage in the straight in the Avondale Guineas and came through on the rail late for a fast closing third place. With clear running he may have finished closer.
14 Jaffira Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott Pulled hard in the race and struck trouble in the Avondale Guineas when 10th and this appears too tough.
15 Andalus Stephen Marsh Winner two starts ago and was then not disgraced in the Avondale Guineas when he was slowly away and made ground late. Looks a value runner.
16 Full Of Sincerity Andrew Forsman Ridden perfectly and given every chance in the Avondale Guineas when finishing 4th to Desert Lightning. Hard to see him turning the tables.
17 Dimaggio Tony Pike Travelled on the speed outside the leader in the Avondale Guineas and had his chance in the straight but just battled away for 5th place.
18 Savabourbon Stephen Marsh Enjoyed a nice run in transit before bursting through late and winning at Pukekohe Park over 2100m. Extra journey will suit.

 

Selections: 1. Sharp ‘N’ Smart , 2. Desert Lightning, 4. Waitak, 13. Warsaw

 

Melissa
Author: Melissa